The invisible pandemic https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31035-7/fulltext
Many countries (and members of their press media) have marvelled at Sweden's relaxed strategy in the face of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic: schools and most workplaces have remained open, and police officers were not checking one's errands in the street. Severe critics have described it as Sweden sacrificing its (elderly) citizens to quickly reach herd immunity.1 The death toll has surpassed our three closest neighbours, Denmark, Norway, and Finland, but the mortality remains lower than in the UK, Spain, and Belgium.2 It has become clear that a hard lockdown does not protect old and frail people living in care homes—a population the lockdown was designed to protect.3 Neither does it decrease mortality from COVID-19, which is evident when comparing the UK's experience with that of other European countries.
I expect that when we count the number of deaths from COVID-19 in each country in 1 year from now, the figures will be similar, regardless of measures taken. Measures to flatten the curve might have an effect, but a lockdown only pushes the severe cases into the future —it will not prevent them. Admittedly, countries have managed to slow down spread so as not to overburden health-care systems, and, yes, effective drugs that save lives might soon be developed, but this pandemic is swift, and those drugs have to be developed, tested, and marketed quickly. Much hope is put in vaccines, but they will take time, and with the unclear protective immunological response to infection, it is not certain that vaccines will be very effective.
4 件のコメント:
江戸っ子は何故”宵越しのカネ”を持たなくなったか？〜災害で価値観をアップデートしてきた日本〜
https://nativ.media/16887/?fbclid=IwAR3oSIjPFmK88UYkOrX7DLCKj7Rtd46Ow5DbN_a40KTLSbAVenrFIGLyGrI
新型コロナ、人への感染は19年終盤から 英大学が遺伝子分析
https://jp.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-evolution-idJPKBN22I2MR
英ロンドン大学ユニバーシティー・カレッジ（ＵＣＬ）の研究チームは６日、新型コロナウイルスの人への感染が２０１９年終盤に始まり、急速なペースで世界各地に広がったことを示すデータを発表した。
研究チームは世界各地の７５００人以上の新型コロナ感染者から検出されたウイルスの遺伝子を分析。約２００の反復突然変異が確認され、研究者はウイルスが人への感染とともに進化している可能性があるとの見方を示した。
The invisible pandemic
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31035-7/fulltext
Many countries (and members of their press media) have marvelled at Sweden's relaxed strategy in the face of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic: schools and most workplaces have remained open, and police officers were not checking one's errands in the street. Severe critics have described it as Sweden sacrificing its (elderly) citizens to quickly reach herd immunity.1 The death toll has surpassed our three closest neighbours, Denmark, Norway, and Finland, but the mortality remains lower than in the UK, Spain, and Belgium.2
It has become clear that a hard lockdown does not protect old and frail people living in care homes—a population the lockdown was designed to protect.3 Neither does it decrease mortality from COVID-19, which is evident when comparing the UK's experience with that of other European countries.
I expect that when we count the number of deaths from COVID-19 in each country in 1 year from now, the figures will be similar, regardless of measures taken.
Measures to flatten the curve might have an effect, but a lockdown only pushes the severe cases into the future —it will not prevent them. Admittedly, countries have managed to slow down spread so as not to overburden health-care systems, and, yes, effective drugs that save lives might soon be developed, but this pandemic is swift, and those drugs have to be developed, tested, and marketed quickly. Much hope is put in vaccines, but they will take time, and with the unclear protective immunological response to infection, it is not certain that vaccines will be very effective.
I declare no competing interests.
これもう歴史に残る一枚やろ
https://tr.twipple.jp/t/d9/1258033623413829637.html
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